marchwarden/docs/stress-tests/M3.3-runs/07-comparative.log
Jeff Smith 13215d7ddb docs(stress-tests): M3.3 Phase A — calibration data collection
Issue #46 (Phase A only — Phase B human rating still pending, issue stays open).

Adds the data-collection half of the calibration milestone:

- scripts/calibration_runner.sh — runs 20 fixed balanced-depth queries
  across 4 categories (factual, comparative, contradiction-prone,
  scope-edge), 5 each, capturing per-run logs to docs/stress-tests/M3.3-runs/.
- scripts/calibration_collect.py — loads every persisted ResearchResult
  under ~/.marchwarden/traces/*.result.json and emits a markdown rating
  worksheet with one row per run. Recovers question text from each
  trace's start event and category from the run-log filename.
- docs/stress-tests/M3.3-rating-worksheet.md — 22 runs (20 calibration
  + caffeine smoke + M3.2 multi-axis), with empty actual_rating columns
  for the human-in-the-loop scoring step.
- docs/stress-tests/M3.3-runs/*.log — runtime logs from the calibration
  runner, kept as provenance. Gitignore updated with an exception
  carving stress-test logs out of the global *.log ignore.

Note: M3.1's 4 runs predate #54 (full result persistence) and so are
unrecoverable to the worksheet — only post-#54 runs have a result.json
sibling. 22 rateable runs is still within the milestone target of 20–30.

Phases B (human rating) and C (analysis + rubric + wiki update) follow
in a later session. This issue stays open until both are done.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 20:21:47 -06:00

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Researching: Compare PostgreSQL and SQLite for embedded analytics workloads.
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╭─────────────────────────────────── Answer ───────────────────────────────────╮
│ PostgreSQL and SQLite differ substantially for embedded analytics workloads │
│ across architecture, concurrency, feature set, and performance │
│ characteristics. │
│ │
│ **Architecture:** SQLite is a serverless, embedded database engine that │
│ reads/writes a single file on disk, making it highly portable and │
│ zero-configuration. PostgreSQL uses a client-server architecture requiring a │
│ separate server process, which enables it to scale and handle multiple │
│ concurrent clients efficiently via Multi-Version Concurrency Control (MVCC) │
│ [Source 5]. For embedded analytics specifically, SQLite's in-process nature │
│ eliminates network overhead, which can yield significant read performance │
│ advantages in local scenarios [Source 31]. │
│ │
│ **Concurrency:** SQLite allows multiple concurrent readers but only one │
│ writer at a time, using file-level locking. This single-writer model is a │
│ significant bottleneck for write-heavy or high-concurrency analytical │
│ ingestion workloads [Source 24, Source 25]. PostgreSQL's MVCC ensures │
│ readers and writers do not block each other, making it far superior for │
│ multi-user or mixed OLTP/OLAP environments [Source 5]. Turso's work on │
│ concurrent writes for SQLite demonstrates the community recognizes this │
│ limitation, achieving up to 4x write throughput improvements over vanilla │
│ SQLite [Source 24]. │
│ │
│ **OLAP/Analytical Performance:** SQLite is row-oriented and was designed │
│ primarily as a world-class OLTP engine. For analytical workloads—complex │
│ aggregations, percentile calculations, large scans—SQLite struggles │
│ significantly. A cited benchmark shows a single percentile query over 13M │
│ rows taking ~4 seconds in SQLite [Source 6]. PostgreSQL, while also │
│ row-oriented, supports more advanced SQL features (window functions, complex │
│ joins, partitioning) and can be tuned for analytics [Source 22]. However, │
│ PostgreSQL itself hits a 'Postgres Wall' for heavy analytical workloads when │
│ row-scanning large datasets exceeds available RAM [Source 13]. Neither │
│ SQLite nor PostgreSQL is natively columnar; PostgreSQL can be extended with │
│ columnar storage extensions for better OLAP performance [Source 23]. │
│ │
│ **Feature Set:** PostgreSQL offers a richer feature set including more data │
│ types, advanced indexing, role-based access control, JSON/array support, │
│ geospatial extensions (PostGIS), and time-series extensions. SQLite uses │
│ dynamic typing and has a simpler, more limited feature set—easier to use but │
│ potentially limiting for complex analytical applications [Source 5, Source │
│ 1]. │
│ │
│ **Recommended Alternatives for Embedded Analytics:** DuckDB is widely cited │
│ as the superior embedded engine for analytical workloads, outperforming both │
│ SQLite and PostgreSQL on OLAP queries by a large margin [Source 6, Source │
│ 2]. For embedded analytics use cases requiring columnar processing, DuckDB │
│ or Stoolap (a Rust-based embedded OLAP engine) are more purpose-built │
│ options. Stoolap benchmarks show up to 138x faster analytical query │
│ performance versus SQLite [Source 9]. │
│ │
│ **Summary:** SQLite wins for lightweight, read-heavy, single-writer, │
│ local/embedded OLTP workloads where portability and zero configuration │
│ matter. PostgreSQL wins for multi-user, concurrent, complex-query │
│ environments. For true embedded analytics workloads (large-scale │
│ aggregations, complex OLAP queries), neither is optimal—DuckDB or a hybrid │
│ architecture (PostgreSQL as system-of-record + DuckDB as analytical engine) │
│ is the modern recommended approach. │
╰──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────╯
Citations
┏━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━┓
┃ # ┃ Title / Locator ┃ Excerpt ┃ Conf ┃
┡━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━┩
│ 1 │ SQLite vs. PostgreSQL: The │ PostgreSQL is a client-server │ 0.97 │
│ │ key differences and │ database system... This │ │
│ │ advantages of each │ architecture enables │ │
│ │ https://databaseschool.com/ar │ PostgreSQL to scale and handle │ │
│ │ ticles/sqlite-vs-postgresql-t │ multiple concurrent clients │ │
│ │ he-key-differences-and-advant │ efficiently... SQLite is a │ │
│ │ ages-of-each │ serverless database engine. It │ │
│ │ │ functions as a lightweight │ │
│ │ │ library embedded directly into │ │
│ │ │ applications... SQLite's │ │
│ │ │ concurrency model is more │ │
│ │ │ restrictive: while it allows │ │
│ │ │ multiple readers, only one │ │
│ │ │ process can write to the │ │
│ │ │ database at a time. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 2 │ Making -SQLite- Analytics │ In some analytical queries │ 0.95 │
│ │ Great Again! Oldmoe's blog │ SQLite will struggle to │ │
│ │ https://oldmoe.blog/2025/03/1 │ perform compared to other OLAP │ │
│ │ 2/making-sqlite-analytics-gre │ oriented engines like DuckDB. │ │
│ │ at-again/ │ Consider the following │ │
│ │ │ scenario: You have a table │ │
│ │ │ with 13M entries of latency │ │
│ │ │ data, and you want to │ │
│ │ │ determine the following │ │
│ │ │ percentiles: p50, p95, p99... │ │
│ │ │ After around 4 seconds you │ │
│ │ │ will see the result. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 3 │ DuckDB vs. Postgres for │ That 'quick' analytical query │ 0.95 │
│ │ embedded analytics: How to │ powering a customer-facing │ │
│ │ choose (and when to use a │ dashboard now takes 5 seconds, │ │
│ │ hybrid architecture) │ up from 50 milliseconds. Then │ │
│ │ https://motherduck.com/learn- │ thirty seconds. Then it times │ │
│ │ more/duckdb-vs-postgres-embed │ out. You've hit the 'Postgres │ │
│ │ ded-analytics/ │ Wall.' This isn't a Postgres │ │
│ │ │ failure. It's an architectural │ │
│ │ │ mismatch. Postgres processes │ │
│ │ │ analytics using the same │ │
│ │ │ row-oriented logic designed │ │
│ │ │ for transaction safety. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 4 │ Beyond the Single-Writer │ SQLite has a single-writer │ 0.93 │
│ │ Limitation with Turso's │ transaction model, which means │ │
│ │ Concurrent Writes │ whenever a transaction writes │ │
│ │ https://turso.tech/blog/beyon │ to the database, no other │ │
│ │ d-the-single-writer-limitatio │ write transactions can make │ │
│ │ n-with-tursos-concurrent-writ │ progress until that │ │
│ │ es │ transaction is complete... │ │
│ │ │ When concurrent writes are │ │
│ │ │ used, we achieve up to 4x the │ │
│ │ │ write throughput of SQLite, │ │
│ │ │ while also removing the │ │
│ │ │ dreaded SQLITE_BUSY error. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 5 │ Stoolap vs. SQLite: Comparing │ OLAP (Online Analytical │ 0.92 │
│ │ Rust OLAP and Traditional │ Processing) systems are │ │
│ │ OLTP Databases | Better Stack │ designed for a completely │ │
│ │ Community │ different purpose. OLAP │ │
│ │ https://betterstack.com/commu │ databases are optimized for │ │
│ │ nity/guides/ai/stoolap-vs-sql │ complex queries and data │ │
│ │ ite/ │ analysis... Most standard │ │
│ │ │ application databases, │ │
│ │ │ including SQLite, PostgreSQL, │ │
│ │ │ and MySQL, are classified as │ │
│ │ │ OLTP (Online Transaction │ │
│ │ │ Processing) systems. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 6 │ Postgres Tuning & Performance │ Analytics or OLAP activity │ 0.91 │
│ │ for Analytics Data | Crunchy │ typically involves much │ │
│ │ Data Blog │ longer, more complex queries │ │
│ │ https://www.crunchydata.com/b │ than OLTP activity, joining │ │
│ │ log/postgres-tuning-and-perfo │ data from multiple tables, and │ │
│ │ rmance-for-analytics-data │ working on large data sets. │ │
│ │ │ This means it's very resource │ │
│ │ │ intensive. Without careful │ │
│ │ │ planning and tuning, you can │ │
│ │ │ find yourself with analytics │ │
│ │ │ queries that not only take far │ │
│ │ │ too long to run, but also slow │ │
│ │ │ down your existing │ │
│ │ │ application. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 7 │ Postgres Columnar Storage: 4 │ PostgreSQL is a row-oriented │ 0.90 │
│ │ Popular Extensions and a │ database by design, meaning it │ │
│ │ Quick Tutorial │ stores data tuple-by-tuple... │ │
│ │ https://www.epsio.io/blog/pos │ This structure is suitable for │ │
│ │ tgres-columnar-storage-4-popu │ transactional workloads but │ │
│ │ lar-extensions-and-a-quick-tu │ not optimized for analytical │ │
│ │ torial │ queries that typically scan │ │
│ │ │ large volumes of data across a │ │
│ │ │ few columns... While │ │
│ │ │ PostgreSQL does not natively │ │
│ │ │ support columnar storage, │ │
│ │ │ several extensions and │ │
│ │ │ external tools introduce │ │
│ │ │ columnar capabilities. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 8 │ SQLite vs PostgreSQL │ SQLite was faster. Of course │ 0.88 │
│ │ Performance & Comparison | │ it was. Writing to a local │ │
│ │ Pythonic AF │ file inside the same process │ │
│ │ https://medium.com/pythonic-a │ will almost always be faster │ │
│ │ f/sqlite-vs-postgresql-perfor │ than sending queries to a │ │
│ │ mance-comparison-46ba1d39c9c8 │ server. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 9 │ Everyone Is Wrong About │ why SQLite is often the │ 0.80 │
│ │ SQLite (Here's When It Beats │ superior production choice for │ │
│ │ Postgres) │ read-heavy, single-server, and │ │
│ │ https://www.youtube.com/watch │ edge workloads ... SQLite vs │ │
│ │ ?v=t20KyfjtUs4 │ PostgreSQL Performance. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 10 │ SQLite SO MUCH FASTER than │ Of course, with the advent of │ 0.82 │
│ │ Postgres - Reddit │ DuckDB, you use DuckDB for │ │
│ │ https://www.reddit.com/r/sqli │ data analysis tasks since it │ │
│ │ te/comments/1gu219r/sqlite_so │ can be faster than either │ │
│ │ _much_faster_than_postgres/ │ SQLite or PostgreSQL in those │ │
└─────┴───────────────────────────────┴────────────────────────────────┴───────┘
Gaps
┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┓
┃ Category ┃ Topic ┃ Detail ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ source_not_found │ Quantitative head-to-head │ Most benchmarks found │
│ │ benchmark of SQLite vs │ compare SQLite vs │
│ │ PostgreSQL specifically on │ PostgreSQL on OLTP │
│ │ analytical queries (not │ (reads/writes of individual │
│ │ just OLTP) │ rows) or compare each │
│ │ │ individually to │
│ │ │ DuckDB/Stoolap on OLAP. A │
│ │ │ direct, rigorous benchmark │
│ │ │ of SQLite vs PostgreSQL on │
│ │ │ complex analytical queries │
│ │ │ (GROUP BY, window │
│ │ │ functions, aggregations │
│ │ │ over millions of rows) was │
│ │ │ not surfaced in the │
│ │ │ evidence. │
├──────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┤
│ source_not_found │ PostgreSQL columnar │ While columnar extensions │
│ │ extension performance vs │ for PostgreSQL (e.g., Citus │
│ │ SQLite for embedded │ columnar, hydra) are │
│ │ analytics │ mentioned, no direct │
│ │ │ benchmark comparing │
│ │ │ PostgreSQL-with-columnar-ex │
│ │ │ tension vs SQLite for │
│ │ │ embedded analytical │
│ │ │ workloads was found. │
├──────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┤
│ source_not_found │ SQLite WAL mode impact on │ WAL mode is mentioned as │
│ │ analytical query │ improving concurrent │
│ │ performance │ read/write behavior in │
│ │ │ SQLite, but its specific │
│ │ │ impact on analytical query │
│ │ │ throughput in embedded │
│ │ │ scenarios was not │
│ │ │ quantified in the evidence. │
└──────────────────┴─────────────────────────────┴─────────────────────────────┘
Discovery Events
┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┓
┃ ┃ Suggested ┃ ┃ ┃
┃ Type ┃ Researcher ┃ Query ┃ Reason ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ related_research │ database │ DuckDB vs SQLite │ DuckDB is │
│ │ │ vs PostgreSQL │ consistently │
│ │ │ analytical │ cited as │
│ │ │ benchmark OLAP │ outperforming │
│ │ │ embedded 2024 │ both for │
│ │ │ 2025 │ analytics; a │
│ │ │ │ rigorous │
│ │ │ │ three-way │
│ │ │ │ comparison would │
│ │ │ │ better answer the │
│ │ │ │ embedded │
│ │ │ │ analytics │
│ │ │ │ question. │
├──────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┤
│ related_research │ database │ SQLite past │ The VLDB paper on │
│ │ │ present future │ SQLite's │
│ │ │ VLDB paper bloom │ past/present/futu │
│ │ │ filter analytical │ re is cited │
│ │ │ performance 2022 │ multiple times as │
│ │ │ │ authoritative on │
│ │ │ │ SQLite's │
│ │ │ │ analytical │
│ │ │ │ limitations; │
│ │ │ │ accessing it │
│ │ │ │ directly would │
│ │ │ │ strengthen │
│ │ │ │ claims. │
├──────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┤
│ related_research │ database │ pg_duckdb │ The motherduck │
│ │ │ extension │ article │
│ │ │ PostgreSQL │ references │
│ │ │ embedded │ pg_duckdb as a │
│ │ │ analytics │ key tool for │
│ │ │ performance │ hybrid │
│ │ │ hybrid │ Postgres+DuckDB │
│ │ │ architecture │ analytics; │
│ │ │ │ benchmarks for │
│ │ │ │ this approach │
│ │ │ │ were not found. │
├──────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┤
│ new_source │ null │ Stoolap embedded │ Stoolap is an │
│ │ │ OLAP Rust │ emerging embedded │
│ │ │ database │ OLAP engine │
│ │ │ benchmark SQLite │ (Rust) claiming │
│ │ │ PostgreSQL │ 138x speedup over │
│ │ │ │ SQLite; it's a │
│ │ │ │ relevant new │
│ │ │ │ entrant to the │
│ │ │ │ embedded │
│ │ │ │ analytics space. │
└──────────────────┴───────────────────┴───────────────────┴───────────────────┘
Open Questions
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┃ Priority ┃ Question ┃ Context ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ high │ At what data volume does │ The evidence shows SQLite │
│ │ SQLite's analytical performance │ struggles at 13M rows for │
│ │ become unacceptably slow │ percentile queries (~4s), but │
│ │ compared to PostgreSQL for │ no clear threshold or scaling │
│ │ typical embedded analytics │ curve vs PostgreSQL was found. │
│ │ workloads? │ │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ high │ Does enabling WAL mode and │ Hacker News discussion mentions │
│ │ tuning SQLite │ WAL + synchronous=NORMAL as │
│ │ (synchronous=NORMAL, page size, │ approaching 'line speed with IO │
│ │ etc.) meaningfully close the │ subsystem' for writes, but │
│ │ analytical performance gap with │ analytical query impact is │
│ │ PostgreSQL? │ unclear. │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ medium │ Is a hybrid architecture │ The Postgres+DuckDB hybrid is │
│ │ (SQLite for OLTP + DuckDB for │ well-documented, but an │
│ │ OLAP, sharing the same data) │ SQLite+DuckDB embedded hybrid │
│ │ practical for embedded │ (for truly serverless apps) is │
│ │ applications, and how does it │ less explored in the evidence. │
│ │ compare to using PostgreSQL │ │
│ │ alone? │ │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ medium │ How do PostgreSQL columnar │ PostgreSQL columnar extensions │
│ │ storage extensions (e.g., │ are mentioned as improving OLAP │
│ │ Hydra, Citus columnar) perform │ performance, but no direct │
│ │ for embedded analytics compared │ comparison to SQLite in │
│ │ to native SQLite? │ embedded scenarios was found. │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ medium │ What is the operational │ SQLite's binary is ~500KB vs │
│ │ overhead (memory, disk, setup │ PostgreSQL requiring a server │
│ │ complexity) of running │ process; for edge/IoT embedded │
│ │ PostgreSQL vs SQLite in a truly │ analytics, resource constraints │
│ │ embedded edge or mobile │ may be the deciding factor. │
│ │ environment? │ │
└──────────┴─────────────────────────────────┴─────────────────────────────────┘
╭───────────────────────────────── Confidence ─────────────────────────────────╮
│ Overall: 0.88 │
│ Corroborating sources: 10 │
│ Source authority: medium │
│ Contradiction detected: False │
│ Query specificity match: 0.82 │
│ Budget status: spent │
│ Recency: current │
╰──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────╯
╭──────────────────────────────────── Cost ────────────────────────────────────╮
│ Tokens: 61699 │
│ Iterations: 4 │
│ Wall time: 111.21s │
│ Model: claude-sonnet-4-6 │
╰──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────╯
trace_id: 01881015-61a9-4894-a723-4e1d8b7a7755