marchwarden/docs/stress-tests/M3.3-runs/20-scope.log
Jeff Smith 13215d7ddb docs(stress-tests): M3.3 Phase A — calibration data collection
Issue #46 (Phase A only — Phase B human rating still pending, issue stays open).

Adds the data-collection half of the calibration milestone:

- scripts/calibration_runner.sh — runs 20 fixed balanced-depth queries
  across 4 categories (factual, comparative, contradiction-prone,
  scope-edge), 5 each, capturing per-run logs to docs/stress-tests/M3.3-runs/.
- scripts/calibration_collect.py — loads every persisted ResearchResult
  under ~/.marchwarden/traces/*.result.json and emits a markdown rating
  worksheet with one row per run. Recovers question text from each
  trace's start event and category from the run-log filename.
- docs/stress-tests/M3.3-rating-worksheet.md — 22 runs (20 calibration
  + caffeine smoke + M3.2 multi-axis), with empty actual_rating columns
  for the human-in-the-loop scoring step.
- docs/stress-tests/M3.3-runs/*.log — runtime logs from the calibration
  runner, kept as provenance. Gitignore updated with an exception
  carving stress-test logs out of the global *.log ignore.

Note: M3.1's 4 runs predate #54 (full result persistence) and so are
unrecoverable to the worksheet — only post-#54 runs have a result.json
sibling. 22 rateable runs is still within the milestone target of 20–30.

Phases B (human rating) and C (analysis + rubric + wiki update) follow
in a later session. This issue stays open until both are done.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-08 20:21:47 -06:00

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Researching: What are the precise materials and tolerances in TSMC's 2nm
process?
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╭─────────────────────────────────── Answer ───────────────────────────────────╮
│ TSMC's 2nm (N2) process node, which began volume production in Q4 2025, │
│ introduces several key technical advances, though precise proprietary │
│ materials specifications and sub-angstrom tolerances are not publicly │
│ disclosed. What is publicly known: │
│ │
│ **Transistor Architecture:** N2 is TSMC's first node to use Gate-All-Around │
│ (GAA) nanosheet transistors, replacing the FinFET architecture used since │
│ 2011. The gate surrounds the silicon nanosheet channel on all sides, │
│ providing superior electrostatic control and reduced gate leakage compared │
│ to 3nm FinFETs [Sources 10, 13, 21]. │
│ │
│ **Process Node Dimensions (IEEE IRDS):** The 2nm node class is projected to │
│ have a contacted gate pitch of ~45nm and a tightest metal pitch of ~20nm, │
│ per IEEE International Roadmap for Devices and Systems (2021 update) [Source │
│ 16]. │
│ │
│ **Interconnects:** N2 features copper (Cu)-based redistribution layers │
│ (RDLs) with flat passivation and through-silicon vias (TSVs), co-optimized │
│ with 3DIC integration. Middle- and back-end-of-line (MEOL/BEOL) │
│ interconnects are included, with the densest SRAM macro ever reported at │
│ approximately 38 Mb/mm² [Sources 4, 21]. │
│ │
│ **Performance Metrics (vs. N3E):** 2435% power reduction OR 15% performance │
│ improvement at iso-voltage; >1.15x transistor density improvement over N3 │
│ [Sources 10, 18, 21]. │
│ │
│ **Yield:** Initial yields reportedly ~70%, with some memory products │
│ exceeding 90%. A 6% yield improvement over baseline was reported in late │
│ 2024 [Sources 13, 14]. │
│ │
│ **Applications:** Designed for AI, mobile, and HPC applications. Key │
│ customers include Apple (A20 chip for iPhone 18 Pro) and NVIDIA [Sources 8, │
│ 14]. │
│ │
│ **Fab Locations:** Primary production in Hsinchu and Kaohsiung, Taiwan; a │
│ Kaohsiung 2nm facility expansion ceremony was held March 31, 2025 [Source │
│ 6]. │
│ │
│ **Specific proprietary materials** (e.g., exact dielectric compositions, │
│ gate oxide materials, metal liner chemistries, doping concentrations, and │
│ nanometer-level tolerances on nanosheet thickness/width) are not publicly │
│ disclosed by TSMC and were not found in the available evidence. │
╰──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────╯
Citations
┏━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━┓
┃ # ┃ Title / Locator ┃ Excerpt ┃ Conf ┃
┡━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━┩
│ 1 │ TSMC shares deep-dive details │ The new production node │ 0.95 │
│ │ about its cutting edge 2nm │ promises a 24 to 35% power │ │
│ │ process node at IEDM 2024 — │ reduction or 15% performance │ │
│ │ 35 percent less power or 15 │ improvement at the same │ │
│ │ percent more performance | │ voltage, and 1.15X higher │ │
│ │ Tom's Hardware │ transistor density than the │ │
│ │ https://www.tomshardware.com/ │ previous 3nm node. │ │
│ │ tech-industry/tsmc-shares-dee │ │ │
│ │ p-dive-details-about-its-cutt │ │ │
│ │ ing-edge-2nm-process-node-at- │ │ │
│ │ iedm-2024-35-percent-less-pow │ │ │
│ │ er-or-15-percent-more-perform │ │ │
│ │ ance │ │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 2 │ IEDM 2024 TSMC 2nm Process │ The paper states that the │ 0.95 │
│ │ Disclosure - TechInsights │ process delivers a 30% power │ │
│ │ https://library.techinsights. │ improvement or 15% performance │ │
│ │ com/public/hg-asset/f32a0f17- │ gain and >1.15x density versus │ │
│ │ 5369-4c97-913c-b78d2ddd833b │ the previous 3nm node. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 3 │ The Shape of Tomorrow's │ The new N2 platform features │ 0.93 │
│ │ Semiconductor Technology - │ GAA nanosheet transistors; │ │
│ │ Semiconductor Digest │ middle-/back-end-of-line │ │
│ │ https://www.semiconductor-dig │ interconnects with the densest │ │
│ │ est.com/the-shape-of-tomorrow │ SRAM macro ever reported │ │
│ │ s-semiconductor-technology/ │ (~38Mb/mm2); and a holistic, │ │
│ │ │ system-technology co-optimized │ │
│ │ │ (STCO) architecture offering │ │
│ │ │ great design flexibility. That │ │
│ │ │ architecture includes a │ │
│ │ │ scalable copper-based │ │
│ │ │ redistribution layer and a │ │
│ │ │ flat passivation layer (for │ │
│ │ │ better performance, robust │ │
│ │ │ CPI, and seamless 3D │ │
│ │ │ integration); and │ │
│ │ │ through-silicon vias, or TSVs. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 4 │ 2 nm process - Wikipedia │ According to the projections │ 0.90 │
│ │ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki │ contained in the 2021 update │ │
│ │ /2_nm_process │ of the International Roadmap │ │
│ │ │ for Devices and Systems │ │
│ │ │ published by the Institute of │ │
│ │ │ Electrical and Electronics │ │
│ │ │ Engineers (IEEE), a '2.1 nm │ │
│ │ │ node range label' is expected │ │
│ │ │ to have a contacted gate pitch │ │
│ │ │ of 45 nanometers and a │ │
│ │ │ tightest metal pitch of 20 │ │
│ │ │ nanometers. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 5 │ TSMC Boosts 2 nm Yields by │ A key innovation in the N2 │ 0.88 │
│ │ 6%, Passing Savings to │ process is the enhanced design │ │
│ │ Customers | TechPowerUp │ of its GAA nanosheet │ │
│ │ https://www.techpowerup.com/3 │ transistors, which offers │ │
│ │ 29435/tsmc-boosts-2-nm-yields │ improved electrostatic control │ │
│ │ -by-6-passing-savings-to-cust │ and reduced gate leakage │ │
│ │ omers │ compared to 3 nm FinFET │ │
│ │ │ transistors, given that the │ │
│ │ │ gate can be controlled from │ │
│ │ │ all sides. This advancement │ │
│ │ │ enables smaller high-density │ │
│ │ │ transistors to maintain │ │
│ │ │ reliable performance through │ │
│ │ │ better threshold voltage │ │
│ │ │ tuning capabilities. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 6 │ TSMC 2nm, full details │ This 2nm platform technology │ 0.82 │
│ │ revealed-Electronics │ includes new Cu RDLs with flat │ │
│ │ Headlines-EEWORLD │ passivation and TSVs, │ │
│ │ https://en.eeworld.com.cn/mp/ │ optimized holistically with │ │
│ │ Icbank/a391002.jspx │ 3DIC to enable system │ │
│ │ │ integration. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 7 │ TSMC begins quietly volume │ TSMC has quietly revealed that │ 0.97 │
│ │ production of 2nm-class chips │ it had commenced volume │ │
│ │ | Tom's Hardware │ production of chips using its │ │
│ │ https://www.tomshardware.com/ │ N2 (2nm-class) fabrication │ │
│ │ tech-industry/semiconductors/ │ process... 'TSMC's 2nm (N2) │ │
│ │ tsmc-begins-quietly-volume-pr │ technology has started volume │ │
│ │ oduction-of-2nm-class-chips-f │ production in 4Q25 as │ │
│ │ irst-gaa-transistor-for-tsmc- │ planned.' │ │
│ │ claims-up-to-15-percent-impro │ │ │
│ │ vement-at-iso-power │ │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 8 │ TSMC's 2nm Yield Rates Surge │ Initial tsmc 2nm yield rates │ 0.75 │
│ │ as Mass Production Ramps Up │ are notably high, reportedly │ │
│ │ in 2026 │ reaching around 70%. Some │ │
│ │ https://heqingele.com/blog/ts │ reports even indicate yields │ │
│ │ mc-2nm-yield-rates-mass-produ │ surpassing 90% for certain │ │
│ │ ction-status-2026/ │ memory products. │ │
├─────┼───────────────────────────────┼────────────────────────────────┼───────┤
│ 9 │ Unlocking the Future: TSMC's │ On March 31, 2025, TSMC held │ 0.80 │
│ │ Bold Strategy for the 2nm │ an expansion ceremony for its │ │
│ │ Revolution! │ 2nm production facility in │ │
│ │ https://tspasemiconductor.sub │ Kaohsiung, marking a │ │
│ │ stack.com/p/unlocking-the-fut │ significant milestone in │ │
│ │ ure-tsmcs-bold-strategy-cb2 │ Taiwan's semiconductor │ │
│ │ │ advanced manufacturing │ │
│ │ │ expansion. │ │
└─────┴───────────────────────────────┴────────────────────────────────┴───────┘
Gaps
┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┓
┃ Category ┃ Topic ┃ Detail ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ source_not_found │ Exact dielectric and gate │ TSMC does not publicly │
│ │ oxide materials used in N2 │ disclose the specific │
│ │ GAA nanosheet transistors │ high-k dielectric │
│ │ │ materials, interfacial │
│ │ │ layer compositions, or work │
│ │ │ function metal chemistries │
│ │ │ used in the N2 gate stack. │
│ │ │ These are considered core │
│ │ │ IP. │
├──────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┤
│ source_not_found │ Nanosheet thickness and │ The precise nanometer-scale │
│ │ width tolerances │ dimensions and process │
│ │ │ tolerances (e.g., nanosheet │
│ │ │ thickness variation, │
│ │ │ critical dimension │
│ │ │ uniformity) for N2 GAA │
│ │ │ nanosheets are not publicly │
│ │ │ available. │
├──────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┤
│ source_not_found │ Metal interconnect liner │ While Cu RDLs are │
│ │ and barrier materials │ confirmed, the specific │
│ │ │ barrier/liner materials │
│ │ │ (e.g., whether ruthenium or │
│ │ │ cobalt liners replace │
│ │ │ TaN/Ta at this node) are │
│ │ │ not disclosed in public │
│ │ │ sources. │
├──────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┤
│ source_not_found │ Doping profiles and implant │ Source/drain doping │
│ │ specifications │ concentrations, implant │
│ │ │ energies, and anneal │
│ │ │ conditions are proprietary │
│ │ │ and not published. │
├──────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────┤
│ source_not_found │ EUV lithography specifics │ The number of EUV exposures │
│ │ (number of EUV layers, │ per layer, overlay │
│ │ stochastic defect control │ tolerances, and specific │
│ │ methods) │ stochastic control │
│ │ │ approaches are not detailed │
│ │ │ in public TSMC disclosures. │
└──────────────────┴─────────────────────────────┴─────────────────────────────┘
Discovery Events
┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┓
┃ ┃ Suggested ┃ ┃ ┃
┃ Type ┃ Researcher ┃ Query ┃ Reason ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ related_research │ arxiv │ TSMC N2 nanosheet │ IEEE IEDM 2024 │
│ │ │ GAA transistor │ papers from TSMC │
│ │ │ gate stack │ may contain more │
│ │ │ materials high-k │ specific │
│ │ │ dielectric IEDM │ materials details │
│ │ │ 2024 │ in the full │
│ │ │ │ published │
│ │ │ │ proceedings not │
│ │ │ │ summarized in │
│ │ │ │ news articles. │
├──────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┤
│ related_research │ database │ TSMC 2nm N2 │ TSMC patent │
│ │ │ process patent │ filings related │
│ │ │ filings nanosheet │ to N2 may reveal │
│ │ │ gate-all-around │ specific │
│ │ │ materials │ materials │
│ │ │ │ choices, │
│ │ │ │ tolerances, and │
│ │ │ │ process │
│ │ │ │ innovations that │
│ │ │ │ are not in press │
│ │ │ │ releases. │
├──────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┤
│ related_research │ arxiv │ gate-all-around │ Academic │
│ │ │ nanosheet │ literature on GAA │
│ │ │ transistor │ nanosheet │
│ │ │ silicon channel │ fabrication may │
│ │ │ thickness │ reveal typical │
│ │ │ variation │ tolerance ranges │
│ │ │ tolerance 2nm │ used at the 2nm │
│ │ │ │ class node even │
│ │ │ │ if not │
│ │ │ │ TSMC-specific. │
├──────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┼───────────────────┤
│ related_research │ database │ TechInsights TSMC │ TechInsights │
│ │ │ N2 teardown │ performs physical │
│ │ │ materials │ reverse │
│ │ │ analysis 2025 │ engineering of │
│ │ │ │ chips and may │
│ │ │ │ have detailed N2 │
│ │ │ │ materials │
│ │ │ │ analysis │
│ │ │ │ available through │
│ │ │ │ their │
│ │ │ │ subscription │
│ │ │ │ service. │
└──────────────────┴───────────────────┴───────────────────┴───────────────────┘
Open Questions
┏━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┳━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┓
┃ Priority ┃ Question ┃ Context ┃
┡━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━╇━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━┩
│ high │ What specific high-k dielectric │ Public sources confirm GAA │
│ │ and metal gate materials does │ nanosheet architecture but do │
│ │ TSMC use in the N2 GAA │ not specify gate dielectric │
│ │ nanosheet gate stack? │ (e.g., HfO2 variants) or work │
│ │ │ function metal compositions │
│ │ │ used to achieve threshold │
│ │ │ voltage tuning. │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ high │ Has TSMC adopted ruthenium or │ At 20nm metal pitch, │
│ │ other alternative metals for │ traditional TaN/Ta/Cu stacks │
│ │ BEOL interconnect liners in N2 │ face resistance issues; Intel │
│ │ to reduce resistance at tight │ and others have explored Mo and │
│ │ pitches? │ Ru. TSMC's specific choice for │
│ │ │ N2 BEOL is not disclosed in │
│ │ │ public sources. │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ high │ What is the actual silicon │ GAA nanosheet devices typically │
│ │ nanosheet thickness and stack │ stack 3-4 nanosheets; TSMC has │
│ │ count in TSMC's N2 process? │ not publicly specified │
│ │ │ nanosheet dimensions or stack │
│ │ │ count for N2. │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ medium │ How does TSMC's N2 defect │ A LinkedIn post references │
│ │ density compare quantitatively │ Tom's Hardware reporting that │
│ │ to N3 at equivalent production │ TSMC disclosed N2 defect │
│ │ maturity? │ density is lower than N3 at the │
│ │ │ same stage of development, but │
│ │ │ specific numbers were not found │
│ │ │ in the gathered sources. │
├──────────┼─────────────────────────────────┼─────────────────────────────────┤
│ medium │ Will TSMC's N2P (enhanced N2) │ Sources mention N2P is a 5% │
│ │ node incorporate backside power │ speed-enhanced version of N2 │
│ │ delivery network (BSPDN), and │ targeting qualification │
│ │ what materials/process changes │ completion; the SemiAnalysis │
│ │ does that entail? │ report discusses BSPDN as a key │
│ │ │ innovation at 2nm class nodes, │
│ │ │ and its material implications │
│ │ │ differ significantly. │
└──────────┴─────────────────────────────────┴─────────────────────────────────┘
╭───────────────────────────────── Confidence ─────────────────────────────────╮
│ Overall: 0.42 │
│ Corroborating sources: 9 │
│ Source authority: medium │
│ Contradiction detected: False │
│ Query specificity match: 0.30 │
│ Budget status: spent │
│ Recency: current │
╰──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────╯
╭──────────────────────────────────── Cost ────────────────────────────────────╮
│ Tokens: 62620 │
│ Iterations: 3 │
│ Wall time: 105.63s │
│ Model: claude-sonnet-4-6 │
╰──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────╯
trace_id: a4bb5b7a-61dd-446b-8c06-06c78de5fef7